May 15, 2008

The trend pieces vs. the voters

Mark Silk makes a point that some of us have been making for a couple years, one that's as relevant as ever right now: The problem with the evangelicals-go-Democrat narrative is that THERE ISN'T MUCH MEASURABLE EVIDENCE OF IT. And he links to new poll data that finds that evangelicals--not just the white ones--prefer McCain to Obama: 69 vs. 28 percent.

Another reminder that you really can't make something true just by saying it over and over again.

2 comments:

  1. and further proof that "evangelical" is fairly meaningless in these contexts.

    if the term's supposed imply a preference for a candidate's religious emphasis (or even, "personal relationship with jesus"), the stats would be obama 100%-mccain 0%, since obama's talked more about his faith and how it influences him than any presumed dem nominee in modern history, and mccain has talked about exactly not at all.

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  2. Well, polls usually refer to evangelicals in terms of self-identification, which is imperfect but probably as useful a definition as any for this sort of thing.

    I think this demonstrates that most evangelicals are less concerned about religiosity than they are about abortion and party loyalty. Which worries me but doesn't surprise me.

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